A Syrian cease-fire backed by Russia and Turkey took effect at midnight Thursday, a move that could prompt a political settlement of a nearly 6-year-old civil war and a dramatic shift in U.S. policy under a Donald Trump presidency.
The national cease-fire agreement, announced earlier by Syria’s military, does not cover the Islamic State and the al-Qaeda affiliate operating in Syria.
A member of one of Syria’s main rebel groups said the truce includes a halt to airstrikes and shelling.
Ahmad Ramadan of the Syrian National Coalition told the Associated Press that rebel factions would abide by the truce but retaliate if the government and its partners violated the deal.
However, Richard Spencer of the Telegraph in February, 2016 reported that the Syrian peace talks are just a cover for escalating violence
Stating that as long as Russia sees the Geneva talks as an excuse to help the Assad regime, nothing is going to get better in Syria
If it holds, the halt to hostilities between the regime of President Bashar Assad and rebels, who have lost ground in recent months, presents a major change as President-elect Trump prepares to assume office in three weeks.
Trump, who is critical of President Obama’s handling of the war and U.S. backing of rebel groups battling Assad, has suggested that Russia and Assad could be U.S. allies in the fight against the Islamic State in Syria.
By contrast, Obama wants Assad to step down because of atrocities his regime committed against the Syrian people, including the use of chemical weapons.
Obama refused to coordinate military strategy with Russia in Syria, where a U.S.-led coalition targets the Islamic State, and Russian jets target all opponents of Moscow’s close ally Assad.
“Russia and Turkey are trying to put something in place before the new administration takes office,” said Robert Pearson, a former U.S. ambassador to Turkey at the Middle East Institute. “It will be a kind of fait accompli with the Trump administration.”
Previous cease-fires have failed as hundreds of groups are fighting inside Syria, and a long-term solution would require cooperation from countries that have vested interests in the war’s outcome, including Iran, which is aligned with Assad, and Saudi Arabia, which wants Assad deposed to reduce the influence of its enemy Iran.
“The agreements reached are very fragile, they demand special attention and patience, a professional approach to these issues and a constant contact with our partners,” Russian President Vladimir Putin said.
Putin did not specify which rebel groups would participate in the truce, but Russia’s Defense Ministry said they would represent 62,000 opposition fighters from across Syria.